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市場最新消息
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| 即市 市場最新消息 |
| 23 May 2025 |
11:33 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG then reported resident Donald Trump said on Friday that Apple would pay a 25% tariff on iPhones that are sold in the United States but not made in the country.
"I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhone? (sic) that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else," he wrote in a Truth Social post.
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| 23 May 2025 |
11:22 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, in Truth Social, US President Donald Trump says :
- 25% tariff must be paid by Apple to U.S. if phones sold in U.S. are not made in the country
The greenback falls across the board after statement.
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| 23 May 2025 |
06:15 |
EUR/USD - 1.1318... LSEG reported the German economy grew significantly more in the first quarter than previously estimated due to good economic developments in March, according to a second estimate published on Friday.
The economy grew by 0.4% in the first quarter of 2025 compared with the previous quarter, the statistics office said, revising a preliminary reading of 0.2%.
Manufacturing output and exports registered stronger growth than initially assumed in March, said Ruth Brand, president of the statistics office.
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| 23 May 2025 |
06:04 |
GBP/USD - 1.3456... LSEG reported British retail sales volumes jumped in April by 1.2%, the Office for National Statistics said on Friday.
A Reuters poll of economists had pointed to month-on-month growth of 0.2%.
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| 22 May 2025 |
16:13 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported the Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives on Thursday passed a sweeping tax and spending bill that would enact much of President Donald Trump's policy agenda and saddle the country with trillions of dollars more in debt.
The bill, passed by a single-vote margin, would fulfill many of Trump's populist campaign pledges, delivering new tax breaks on tips and car loans and boosting spending on the military and border enforcement.
It will add about $3.8 trillion to the federal government's $36.2 trillion in debt over the next decade, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.
"This is arguably the most significant piece of Legislation that will ever be signed in the History of our Country!" Trump wrote on social media.
The package passed in a 215-214 vote after a marathon push that kept lawmakers debating the bill through two successive nights.
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| 22 May 2025 |
16:10 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday he still sees a path to interest rate cuts later this year, and added that market pricing shows investors are worried the current Republican-backedbudget and tax bill in Congressdoes not do enough to deal with the U.S. deficit.
Waller, who was interviewed on Fox Business' "Mornings with Maria" program, said the key to the outlook depends on where the Trump administration's tariff policy settles out. If those tariffs hit the lower end of the range relative to some of the more draconian levels seen at the start of President Donald Trump's global trade war, then the outlook appears solid, he added.
"If we can get the tariffs down close to the 10% and then that's all sealed, done and delivered somewhere by July, then we're in good shape for the second half of the year, and then we're in a good position to kind of move with rate cuts through the second half of the year," Waller said.
He did not say how or when he expects the Fed to lower its benchmark interest rate, which is currently in the 4.25%-4.50% range. Financial markets are looking toward a modest amount of rate-cutting later in the year, even as Fed officials and many analysts in the private sector acknowledge huge uncertainty around the outlook because of trade policy.
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| 22 May 2025 |
13:46 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported U.S. business activity picked up in May amid a truce in the trade war between Washington and China, but President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs on imported goods raised prices for companies and consumers.
The survey from S&P Global on Thursday hinted at an acceleration in inflation in the coming months and a labor market slowdown, a reminder that stagflation remained a risk for the economy despite steps by the Trump administration to de-escalate trade tensions with Beijing.
Manufacturing delivery delays were the longest in 31 months while exports of services, including spending by foreign visitors in the U.S., dropped at the sharpest pace since the COVID-19 pandemic lockdowns in early 2020.
S&P Global's flash U.S. Composite PMI Output Index, which tracks the manufacturing and services sectors, increased to 52.1 this month from 50.6 in April. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the private sector.
The survey's flash manufacturing PMI increased to 52.3 from 50.2 in the prior month. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the manufacturing PMI would dip to 50.1. Its flash services PMI rose to 52.3 from 50.8 in April. Economists had forecast the services PMI would be unchanged.
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| 22 May 2025 |
13:03 |
Continues from previous update...
While a lot of the trade tension has eased since the April meeting, pervasive uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment, keeping bets firmly in place for another ECB rate cut on June 5.
Financial investors see an around 90% chance of an ECB rate cut next month and expect one more move this year before the ECB's deposit rate bottoms out at 1.75%.
This corresponds to the lower end of the ECB's estimated neutral range, where the bank neither stimulates, nor holds back growth.
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| 22 May 2025 |
13:02 |
Continues from previous update...
"Members stressed the need to be a beacon of stability, thus instilling confidence and not causing more surprises in an already volatile environment, which might amplify market turbulence," the accounts said.
Still, some policymakers warned that risks were skewed towards higher than projected inflation readings, particularly in the longer-term, since deglobalisation and trade barriers will inherently increase costs for firms.
"These members attached a higher probability to the possibility that the trade shock would be inflationary beyond the short term, in view of the destructive effects of breaking up global value chains," the minutes added.
These policymakers also warned that if the current bump in the economy proved short lived because trade tensions are resolved, the ECB's support would kick in just when the economy was rebounding.
In addition, fiscal support is likely to increase by then so the risk was the ECB could be providing excessive and unnecessary support.
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| 22 May 2025 |
13:01 |
EUR/USD - 1.1303... LSEG reported the Euro zone inflation shock is nearly defeated and even if a global trade war could push up prices later on, projecting stability in turbulent times was key, ECB policymakers argued when they cut interest rates in April, the accounts of their meeting showed.
The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the seventh time in a year last month and warned that economic growth will take a big hit from U.S. tariffs, bolstering bets for even more policy easing in the months ahead.
"Members expressed increased confidence that inflation would return to target over the medium term and that the fight against the inflation shock was nearly over," the ECB said in the accounts of that meeting. "Disinflationary forces were thus likely to dominate in the short term."
Some policymaker argued that a global trade war could turn out to boost prices later on but the majority concluded that frontloading rate cuts projected much needed stability just when financial markets were showing excessive volatility.
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| 22 May 2025 |
12:36 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits dropped last week, suggesting the economy maintained a steady pace of job growth in May.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 227,000 for the week ended May 17, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 230,000 claims for the latest week.
They expect claims in the coming weeks to drift into the upper end of their 205,000-243,000 range for this year, mostly driven by difficulties adjusting the data for seasonal fluctuations. That would not suggest a material shift in labor market conditions.
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| 22 May 2025 |
08:43 |
LSEG reported Australian exporters are upbeat on their business outlook in China as U.S. tariffs could enhance their competitive edge in Chinese markets, a top central bank official said on Thursday.
In a speech in Sydney, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser said that during a recent trip to China he found confidence that Beijing would do what was needed to sustain economic growth.
Hauser met a wide range of Chinese organisations and Australian exporters on the trip in early April, which just happened to follow the announcement of sky-high U.S. tariffs on the Asian giant that led to a collapse in bilateral trade.
He heard a striking confidence that China was going into the trade war with a strong hand and detected little expectation that the Chinese currency would be devalued to help offset the impact of U.S. levies on prices there.
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| 22 May 2025 |
08:11 |
EUR/USD - 1.1331... LSEG reported German business morale improved slightly more than expected in May, a survey showed on Thursday.
The Ifo institute said its business climate index rose to 87.5 in May from 86.9 in April.
Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast a rise in the reading to 87.4.
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| 22 May 2025 |
08:10 |
EUR/USD - 1.1333... LSEG reported euro zone business activity unexpectedly slipped back into contraction this month as the bloc's dominant services industry suffered a deeper downturn in demand, although manufacturing showed further signs of stabilisation, a survey showed.
"The euro zone economy just cannot seem to find its footing. Since January, the overall PMI has shown only the slightest hint of growth and in May, the private sector actually slipped into contraction," said Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank.
The services PMI dropped to 48.9 from 50.1, its lowest reading since January 2024 and far short of the poll estimate for a rise to 50.3.
But factories showed more signs of recovery with the manufacturing PMI rising to a near three-year high of 49.4 from 49.0, slightly ahead of the 49.3 poll forecast. An index measuring output, which feeds into the composite PMI held steady at April's 51.5.
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| 22 May 2025 |
07:31 |
EUR/USD - 1.1308... LSEG reported Business activity in Germany fell in May, marking the first contraction this year, as a sharp downturn in the service sector overshadowed modest growth in manufacturing, a survey showed on Thursday.
The downturn was primarily driven by the service sector, with its index falling to 47.2 from 49.0 in April, reaching a 30-month low.
This decline was driven by weakening demand and customer uncertainty, marking the steepest drop since September 2024, the report said.
Manufacturing production continued to grow, albeit at a slower pace. The headline manufacturing index rose to 48.8 from 48.4 in April.
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