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市場最新消息
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| 即市 市場最新消息 |
| 16 May 2024 |
12:38 |
USD/MAJORS... Reuters reported the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, pointing to underlying strength in the labor market.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 222,000 for the week ended May 11, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 220,000 claims in the latest week.
The decline reversed a portion of the jump in the prior week, which had pushed claims to the highest level in more than eight months. The increase was largely attributed to a surge in applications in New York related to school spring breaks.
Though the labor market remains healthy, it is steadily rebalancing in the wake of 525 basis points worth of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve since March 2022 to cool demand in the overall economy.
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| 16 May 2024 |
11:31 |
GBP/USD - 1.2662... Reuters news, Bank of England's Greene says :
- inflation persistence has waned since I joined the MPC last July
- I think the burden of proof needs to lie in inflation persistence continuing to wane
- data released ahead of our next meeting will give a clearer indication of how far along the "last mile" we have come
- while I think excess labour hoarding has faded from its peak, it still poses a two-sided risk to our outlook
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| 16 May 2024 |
02:21 |
USD/JPY - 154.28... Reuters news, Japan's EconMin Shindo says :
- economy is expected to continue moderate recovery
- need to pay close attention to risks related to forex fluctuations that would push up domestic prices
- need to pay close attention to global economy downturn risk such as outlook on Chinese economy, crude oil prices due to unstable situations in the Middle East
- govt will continue comprehensive efforts to ensure solid wage hikes will spread to mid- and small-sized firms
- govt will support private consumption by creating situation wherein household income would exceed inflation
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| 16 May 2024 |
01:46 |
AUD/USD - 0.6691... Reuters reported Australian employment rose by more than expected in April, while the jobless rate climbed as the growth in workforce outpaced job creation, a sign the labour market is loosening gradually.
Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Thursday showed net employment rose 38,500 in April from March. Market forecasts had been for a bounce of 23,700. Full-time employment dipped by 6,100 in April.
The jobless rate rose to 4.1%, from an upwardly revised 3.9%, and above market forecasts of 3.9%. The participation rate ticked up to 66.7%, while hours worked was flat in April.
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| 16 May 2024 |
00:31 |
USD/MAJORS... Reuters reported Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee said on Wednesday he was optimistic inflation would continue to come down.
"I'm optimistic that we're continuing on this downward trajectory," Goolsbee said in an interview on CNN, after the Labor Department reported that U.S. consumer prices increased less than expected in April.
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| 15 May 2024 |
13:02 |
USD/MAJORS... Reuters reported U.S. retail sales were unexpectedly flat in April as higher gasoline prices pulled spending away from other goods, indicating that consumer spending was losing momentum.
The unchanged reading in retail sales last month followed a slightly downwardly revised 0.6% increase in March, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Wednesday. Retail sales were previously reported to have risen 0.7% in March.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, gaining 0.4% in April. Sales rose 3.0% year-on-year in April.
Retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services fell 0.3% last month after a downwardly revised 1.0% increase in March. These so-called retail sales were previously reported to have advanced 1.1% in March. Core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product.
Consumer spending increased at a 2.5% annualized rate in the first quarter, contributing to the economy's 1.6% growth pace.
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| 15 May 2024 |
13:01 |
USD/MAJORS... Reuters reported the dollar fell on Wednesday after U.S. consumer prices increased less than expected in April, suggesting inflation has resumed a downward trend in the second quarter and that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September.
The consumer price index rose 0.3% last month after advancing 0.4% in March and February, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) said. In the 12 months through April, the CPI increased 3.4% after climbing 3.5% in March.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI gaining 0.4% on the month and advancing 3.4% year-on-year.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 0.45% to 104.56, with the euro up 0.34% at $1.0855. Against the yen, the dollar weakened 0.72% at 155.28.
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| 15 May 2024 |
09:01 |
Continues from previous update...
Employment meanwhile grew by 0.3% in the first quarter, confirming anecdotal evidence that the labour market continued to tighten as firms were hoarding labour in anticipation of a rebound in growth.
While the European Central Bank raised interest rates to a record high in recent years to sharply slow growth and inflation, firms held on to workers, unlike in most other recessionary episodes.
The main reason is likely to be their post-pandemic experience, when they struggled to rehire workers and much of the services sector struggled to function due to acute labour shortages.
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| 15 May 2024 |
09:00 |
EUR/USD - 1.0830... Reuters reported the euro zone economy grew by 0.3% in the first quarter of the year, suggesting a slow recovery is now underway after six straight quarters of stagnant or negative growth, Eurostat said on Wednesday, confirming a preliminary estimate.
In the previous quarter, however, growth was confirmed at minus 0.1%, indicating that the bloc was in recession, as many economists had long predicted.
The economy shrank by 0.1% in both the third and fourth quarters, meeting the traditional definition of a recession of two consecutive quarters of negative growth.
Among the biggest euro zone countries, Spain was the strongest performer in the first quarter with 0.7% growth while Germany, France and Italy were all at or just below the euro zone average.
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| 15 May 2024 |
06:49 |
EUR/USD - 1.0827... Reuters reported consumer prices in France rose 2.4% year-on-year in April, statistics office INSEE said on Wednesday, confirming preliminary data published in late April.
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| 15 May 2024 |
02:05 |
AUD/USD - 0.6633... Reuters reported Australian wage growth unexpectedly slowed from a 15-year high in the first quarter, likely marking the peak for this cycle and another sign the labour market was finally starting to loosen.
Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday showed the wage price index rose 0.8% in the March quarter, missing market forecasts for a 0.9% rise. It was the smallest increase since late 2022.
Annual pay growth ticked down to 4.1%, from 4.2%, again under expectations. Growth in the private sector showed the first fall since the third quarter of 2020.
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| 15 May 2024 |
01:02 |
USD/MAJORS - Reuters then reported Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank President Jeffrey Schmid on Tuesday said he believes the U.S. central bank should keep shrinking its balance sheet at the same pace as before, rather than slow the process down as it decided to do earlier this month.
"I didn't really think we should have slowed the runoff," Schmid said. "I think there was room to continue to run off like we were doing." He said he also wished the Fed would reinvest the proceeds of maturing holdings into shorter-duration Treasuries.
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| 15 May 2024 |
00:56 |
USD/MAJORS - Reuters news, Fed's Schmid says :
- I don't think we should have slowed the balance sheet runoff
- whatever we don't run off on the balance sheet we should reinvest in short-term treasury debt
- we need room on the fed's balance sheet, which is a monetary tool
- productivity growth can moderate inflation, in the long run can help get to 2% inflation
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| 14 May 2024 |
14:32 |
USD/MAJORS... Reuters news, Fed's Chairman Powell says :
- credibility is everything for central banks
- we achieve it by fulfilling our mandate and not taking on politically fraught issues
- post-pandemic economy has surprised everyone
- credibility also comes from sticking to our knitting
- we've made real progress on inflation
- we have made real progress on inflation
- non-controversial to say US fiscal policy is on an unsustainable path
- U.S. fiscal policy is on an unsustainable path
- we are not sitting around wondering about longer-run neutral when we make policy today
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| 14 May 2024 |
14:31 |
USD/MAJORS... Reuters reported Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the latest report on U.S. producer prices was more "mixed" than "hot" given that prior data was revised lower even as the figures for April came in higher than expected.
"I wouldn't call it hot, I'd call it mixed," Powell said at an event in Amsterdam after the Labor Department released the Producer Price Index for April.
Asked if the recent run of higher-than-expected inflation might mean that the Fed's policy rate is not sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to the Fed's 2% target, Powell said "time will tell." But he added that he did not expect the central bank's next move on interest rates would be an increase. More likely it means that rates would remain where they are, in a range of 5.25% to 5.50%, for longer than previously expected, he said.
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