USD/JPY - 95.86 .. Although dlr ratcheted higher fm last week's low at
94.88 to 97.00 this Wednesday, y'day's selloff to 95.70 due to intra-day active
broad-based unwinding of yen carry trades following the release of much-worse-
than-expected U.S. non-farm payrolls (-476k vs forecast of -355k) confirms
aforesaid erratic rise has ended there n weakness to chart obj. at 95.31 is
seen, however, dlr needs to penetrate sup at 95.04 to signal early decline fm
98.90 has finally resumed, then swift drop to 94.44 n re-test of key daily sup
at 93.85 (May low) wud follow later next week.
Selling on intra-day recovery is therefore the 'obvious' strategy as
regional bourses (AsiaPac & later Europe) are expected to open lower n remain
under pressure. Despite trading abv NY low of 95.70, upside shud falter well
below 96.27 (previous sup, now res) n bring resumption of aforeasaid decline to
indicated downside target n only a firm break abv this res lvl wud prolong cur-
rent choppy consolidatioon, risk stronger gain to 95.55/60 but good selling
interest below 97.00 shud keep dlr's upside below there today.
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