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Update Time: 08 Feb 2010 21:17GMT

DAILY USD/CAD OUTLOOK - +1.0750+

Friday's retreat fm 1.0773 suggests recent rise
fm 1.0225 has made a temp. top n as long as 1.0660
holds, upside bias remains, abv 1.0753, 1.0795/00.

Trade fm long side with stop now at break-even,
below wud risk stronger retrace. to 1.0565/70.

Rate: +1.0750+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Long at 1.0660
Objective: 1.0750
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 1.0753/1.0781/1.0871
Support: 1.0645/1.0597/1.0546
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Daily Market Outlook

Update Time: 09 Feb 2010 01:10 GMT

USD/JPY - 89.30

Dollar traded narrowly yesterday after last week's resumption of erratic decline from 93.78 to 88.55, however, as long as 89.90/00 holds, consolidation with downside bias remains for another fall to 88.75/80 n a break would signal aforesaid decline has resumed n may extend weakness toward 88.00/10 before rebound occurs.  
  
On the upside, breach of 89.90/00 would risk stronger retracement to 90.35/40, however, reckon upside should be capped well below 90.75/80.
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Market Review on 08 Feb 2010 22:48 GMT

Euro stabilises on improved risk appetite

Although weekend's verbal assurance from G7 finance ministers that Greece's fiscal problem will be dealt helped euro to stage a brief rebound to 1.3718 against the greenback in NZ/AUS trading, subsequent renewed selling interest pressured the pair to an intra-day low of 1.3621 in European morning. However, as German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble has expressed a degree of confidence on Greece's problems and European Central Bank Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny was quoted in newspaper Wiener Zeitung that eurozone countries should not ...
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DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON USD/JPY

All times in GMT    
Last Update At 08/02/2010 23:48 GMT
Trend Daily Chart Daily Indicators 21 HR EMA 55 HR EMA
Sideways Falling 89.32 89.52
Trend Hourly Chart Hourly Indicators 13 HR RSI 14 HR DMI
Down Neutral 44 -ve
Daily Analysis
Consolidation with downside bias
Resistance Support
90.79 - Thursday's Tokyo low
90.07 - Wednesday's low
89.89 - Friday's high
88.82 - Friday's low
88.55 - Y'day's low
88.24 - 61.8% r of 84.82-93.78
       USD/JPY - 89.23.. The greenback spent a lacklustre day moving virtually 
sideways y'day inside a narrow range of 89.15-89.55 in Asia, Europe & NY as 
financial woes in the eurozone countries took centre stage n traders continued 
to pay close attention to any new developments regarding Greece's debt problem.
       As the hourly bollinger bands have contracted after last week's selloff 
to 88.55, suggesting near term sideways trading wud continue today, having said 
that, as long as 89.89 (Friday's reaction high) holds, downside bias remains for 
dlr's recent cross-inspired decline fm 93.78 to resume, a firm breach of 88.82 
wud signal such move is under way n weakness twd dynamic sup at 88.24 wud be 
seen, being 61.8% r of the major rise fm 84.82-93.78, however, as hourly oscilla 
tors' readings wud display prominent bullish convergences on such a move, reckon 
daily chart sup at 87.36 wud remain intact n yield strg rebound later this week.
       Today, selling dlr on intra-day recovery for day trade is recommended as 
only abv 89.89 wud defer bearishness n risk stronger retracement of aforesaid 
decline fm 93.78 to 90.55 (being minimum 38.2% r).

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Market Moving News

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All times in GMT    
8 Feb 2010 13:24 Usd/jpy - 89.28 ... The greenback traded inside narrow range of 89.15-89.57 as investors are focusing on the fiscal health of countries such as Greece, Spain n Portugal. Bids by Japanese names are located at 89.15/20 whilst offers by Japanese exporters are tipped at 89.50/55 n further out at 89.80/85.
8 Feb 2010 12:04 Gbp/usd - 1.5576 ... The British pound tumbled to 8-1/2 month low of 1.5535 as broad concerns about sovereign debt highlight Britain's own grim fiscal position n crank up risk aversion and then rebounded briefly to 1.5627 on short-covering due to initial bounce in European equities b4 running into offers there as FTSE n DAX pared early gains n turned into negative territories. Offers are now tipped at 1.5600, 1.5620/25 n further out at 1.5640. On the downside, bids are located at 1.5550/55 n 1.5535/40 with stops building up below 1.5500.
8 Feb 2010 10:06 Eur/usd - 1.3700 ... As German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble has expressed a degree of confidence on Greece's problems at G7 n special EU summit on the economy is scheduled for Thursday, euro has rebounded fm 1.3621 to 1.3714 on short-covering in Europe, however, offers by various accounts are tipped at 1.3718/25 n 1.3740/50. On the downside, bids are located at 1.3660/70 n then 1.3620/30.
8 Feb 2010 09:03 Usd/jpy - 89.50 ... Japan's Nippon Life Insurance Co., the nation's biggest life insurer by assets, said it does not own Greek bonds n plans to increase its investment in Asian shares to take advantages of high growth in the region in the long run. The greenback rebounded briefly due to cross selling in jpy as European equities pared some of last week's losses n rose by more than 1%. Bids are located at 89.25/30 n 89.05/10 whilst offers are tipped at 89.80/85 n 90.00.
8 Feb 2010 06:24 GBP/USD - 1.5575.. Sterling bears are out in full force recently as Friday's firm breach of indicated key sup at 1.5708 had flushed out many die-hard sterling bulls. Price dropped again after initial euro-led rebound to 1.5672 (NZ/AUS) but cross-selling has pressured the pound n some stops are seen below Friday's 1.5559 low but profit-trading bids at 1.5540-10 area shud contain downside, at least for today. Selling interest fm 1.5630-50 remains strg n shud cap intra-day recovery.
8 Feb 2010 06:16 EUR/USD - 1.3630.. Despite initial blip up to 1.3718 in NZ/AUS session following G7 meeting over the w/end, renewed selling has pressured euro in Asian morning, however, have not spotted aggressive sellers as traders are wary of pushing euro sharply lower below Friday's NY 1.3585 low as rumour of a large option defence bid abv 1.3550. Scant offers are seen fm 1.3670-00 n more lumpy ones are below 1.3740.
 

ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR 09/02/2010

All times in GMT    
Time Country Indicator Actual Forecast Range Previous Revised
0001 U.K. RICS house prices Jan 32% 27% 23/33 30%
0001 U.K. BRC retail sales Jan -0.7% N/A N/A 4.2%
0600 Japan Machine tools orders Y/Y Jan N/A N/A 63.4%
0700 Germany Current account Dec 19.1B 16.3/20.6 18.1B
0700 Germany CPI final M/M Jan -0.6% -0.6/0.6 0.8%
0700 Germany CPI final Y/Y Jan 0.8% 0.7/0.8 0.9%
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